Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Microfinance in India: Analysis of Microfinance Information Exchange (MIX) data

Microfinance is an extremely ambitious (and challenging) idea to achieve financial inclusion. It is also an exciting and very interesting concept. Microfinance Information Exchange (MIX) is an organization that posts free global Microfinance data on their website, which includes Microfinance Institution (MFI) profiles and basic portfolio characteristics.

Basic MIX data is available at http://mixmarket.org/profiles-reports (top right hand corner).  For India, it has one data point for every year from 1995 to 2013, which includes performance measures such as gross loan portfolio, average outstanding balance, portfolio at risk over 30 days etc. In addition, it has MFI characteristics such as regulated or unregulated, age of the MFI, percentage of female staff. 

As I was browsing through the data, I was keeping an eye for MFIs in India and their portfolio over the last few years. Microfinance industry in India grew significantly from about 2006, as both for profit and non-profit MFIs started catering to the significant unbanked population. It was deemed as the panacea to all ills, but somewhere down the line, profit-oriented MFIs resorted to aggressive growth strategies, partly due to pressure from investors. Consequently, when customers fell back on their payments, these lenders also resorted to aggressive and unethical collection practices according to this news item.

Knowing that there are several MFI’s catering to the unbanked population in India, I decided to look at the number of loans (to collect) per loan officer from 2003 to 2013. This number more than doubled from 2009 to 2011 (going from 562 to 1433), during the peak of the crisis. Source: MIX Market

In terms of gross loan portfolio, the Microfinance sector continued to grow through 2010/ 2011, hitting a peak of $5.5 billion, with an active loan base of 82 million loans. Source: MIX Market

Surprisingly, there is only a weak correlation (0.3) between number of loans per loan officer and percentage of portfolio over ninety days due. Source: MIX Market
One possible reason could be that in India, the group loan methodology (introduced by Grameen Bank) is still very prevalent. This system emphasizes the importance of punctual payments and the group members feel obligated to repay the loan if one of their group members is unable to do so. So even though the number of loans per loan officer was high, this self-driven discipline of the group could have salvaged the MFIs from having highly delinquent accounts.